Wednesday, October 17, 2007

Clinton Rising, Thompson, Fading

CNN Poll Just Another Poll A Year Out


by Mondoreb
CNN released their latest poll and if candidates were stocks, they'd be telling you: buy Hillary, sell Fred. Complete with the above photo of Thompson with a concerned on his face, we're treated to another poll over a year away from the elections. What can we learn from these early early polls?

Probably not as much as teen-age girls learned about pop idols from reading Tiger Beat magazine.

From CNN:
The new CNN poll by the Opinion Research Corporation released Tuesday shows Thompson's support dropping -- now at 19 percent, down from 27 percent in September.

He's now running second, slightly ahead of Sen. John McCain, R-Arizona, who has 17 percent. Giuliani, the former mayor of New York, still leads with 27 percent.
Of the remaining Republican presidential candidates, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney received support from 13 percent of the Republicans polled, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee received 5 percent, Rep. Duncan Hunter of California received 3 percent, Rep. Ron Paul of Texas received 2 percent, Sen. Sam Brownback of Kansas received 1 percent and Rep. Tom Tancredo of Colorado received 1 percent.

So McCain isn't finished? Ron Paul isn't sweeping the heartland? Other early early polls told us otherwise.

Next up: blue state favorites.
On the Democratic side, Sen. Hillary Clinton of New York continues to gain support and build on her lead. She led Sen. Barack Obama by 23 points last month -- 46 percent to 23 percent. She now leads the Illinois senator by 30 points -- 51 percent to 21 percent.

Of the remaining Democratic presidential candidates, former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards received support from 15 percent of the Democrats polled, New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson received 4 percent, Sen. Joe Biden of Delaware received 1 percent, Sen. Christopher Dodd of Connecticut received 1 percent, former Alaska Sen. Mike Gravel received 1 percent and Rep. Dennis Kucinich of Ohio received 1 percent.
One thing that is interesting: rumors of John Edwards' affair seemed to have given him a little bump. The poll stated that results may vary if Al Gore Jr. was included, but Gore announced earlier this morning that he would not make a bid for the nomination.

Another early early poll and for the next few days the predictions, guesses and analysis will fly thick. Most of it will be wishful thinking or just plain wrong. Some will be accurate. Until next week's latest early early poll.

Then the picture may be of Hillary's brow furrowed in concern or Fred smiling and waving triumphantly.


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